本會會員吳建國大使投書聯合報【全面經濟戰 日韓版「修昔底德陷阱？」】(紙本刊登於該報民國108年8月3日A14版)
日本政府7月1日宣布，從4日起對出口韓國主要半導體原料進行出口管制；一個月來韓國想要設立停損點，但生效不大。昨天日本更確定將南韓從貿易「白名單」中除名，南韓隨後也祭出反制措施，宣布要將日本踢出信任貿易夥伴「白名單」，南韓執政黨則痛批日方等同「對南韓發動全面的經濟戰」。
為何6月底才在大阪G20峰會以禮相見，日本隔天就揮拳重擊韓國....如果只是歷史仇怨，還不能說明日韓間蓄勢待發的貿易戰...日本為何對韓施重手，要把韓國科技產業打趴下去？因素有四：
一、韓國從1992年金泳三當選總統後，國家氣勢上揚；而更早在1988年成功舉辦第24屆奧運會，1996年又成為OECD「富國俱樂部」第29個成員，1999年G20組成時列位其中，2010年外匯準備高居世界第六，南韓在不到30年間已擠進世界主要經濟體前段班。
二、韓國過去10年來因經濟體質改變，已成緊追日本後面的亞洲出口大國，以WTO統計資料看，2016年日本在全球出口排名第四，韓國第八；17年日本第四，韓國第六；18年日本第四，韓國第六，日韓對外貿易額差距縮小中。
三、韓國一有錢，在國際外交上開始顯得氣大財粗，特別是2006年韓籍潘基文當選聯合國秘書長後，韓國在國際間講話聲量放大，但韓國對國際事務處理和全球布局，不如日本細膩及細水長流。韓國去年平昌冬奧對北韓釋出極大善意，並公布「2040韓國統一發展藍圖報告」，南北韓如真能從緩和走向合作及統一，是日本所不願見的國安問題。
四、川普打翻美國總統為全球領袖的傳統形象，對中國發動貿易戰，白宮重要幕僚白邦瑞日前簡單一句「就是不讓中國趕在前頭」道盡一切。為維護美國全球霸主地位，對於國力正全面趕上的中國，處處設立障礙。有人說「川普病毒」讓日本有樣學樣，也想趁韓國還沒有變大變強成為地區威脅前，從經濟上遏止她的崛起，讓日本維持東亞地區唯一強國。
全文連結：https://udn.com/news/story/7339/3966912...
Ambassador Wu Jianguo, a member of our association, submitted a letter to the joint newspaper [Complete Economic War Japan-Korean version of "Thuc 】(Paper published in the newspaper on August 3, 108, A14 edition)
The Japanese government announced on July 1st that it will export control of the main Korean semiconductors raw materials from the 4th; South Korea wants to set up a stop point for a month, but the effect is Yesterday, Japan confirmed that South Korea would be removed from the trade "white list". South Korea subsequently offered counter-measures, announcing that it would kick Japan out of the "white list" of trusted trading partners. South Korea's ruling party criticized Japan as equivalent to "a full-scale economic war against South Korea".
Why did the G20 summit in Osaka at the end of June, Japan punched South Korea the next day.... If it's just historical hatred, it doesn't explain the trade war between Japan and Korea... Why is Japan putting a heavy hand on Han to knock down the Korean tech industry? There are four factors:
First, South Korea's national momentum has risen since the election of Kim Yong San in 1992 President and it successfully hosted the 24th Olympic Games in 1988. In 1996, it became the 29th member of the OECD "rich countries club" in 1999. It ranked among them when the G20 was formed in 1999 and ranked sixth in the world for foreign exchange readiness in 2010, South Korea has entered the pre-class of major economies in the world in less than 30 years.
Second, due to changes in economic structure in the past 10 years, South Korea has become a major Asian export country behind Japan, according to the WTO statistics, 2016 Japan ranked fourth in global exports, South Korea eighth; 17 years Japan fourth, South Korea sixth; 18 years Japan fourth, South Korea sixth, Japan sixth, Japan and South Korea's foreign trade gap narrowed.
Third, as soon as South Korea is rich, it begins to appear rich in international diplomacy, especially after the election of Korean Ban Ki-moon as Secretary-General of the United Nations in 2006, South Korea's voice in international speech has been enlarged, but South Korea's handling of international affairs and global layout is not as delicate and delicate as Japan. South Korea released great goodwill to North Korea at the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics last year, and released the "2040 South Korea Unification Development Blueprint Report". If North and South Korea can move from moderation to cooperation and reunification, it is a national security issue that Japan does not want.
Fourth, Trump overturned the traditional image of the United States President as a global leader and launched a trade war against China. An important White House staff member, Baibury, simply said, "Just don't let China catch up". To maintain America's global hegemony, obstacles are being set up everywhere for China, which is fully catching up with its national strength. Some say the "Trump Virus" has taught Japan, and want to curb South Korea's rise economically before it becomes a regional threat and keep Japan the only power in East Asia.
Full text link: https://udn.com/news/story/7339/3966912...
日本政府7月1日宣布，從4日起對出口韓國主要半導體原料進行出口管制；一個月來韓國想要設立停損點，但生效不大。昨天日本更確定將南韓從貿易「白名單」中除名，南韓隨後也祭出反制措施，宣布要將日本踢出信任貿易夥伴「白名單」，南韓執政黨則痛批日方等同「對南韓發動全面的經濟戰」。
為何6月底才在大阪G20峰會以禮相見，日本隔天就揮拳重擊韓國....如果只是歷史仇怨，還不能說明日韓間蓄勢待發的貿易戰...日本為何對韓施重手，要把韓國科技產業打趴下去？因素有四：
一、韓國從1992年金泳三當選總統後，國家氣勢上揚；而更早在1988年成功舉辦第24屆奧運會，1996年又成為OECD「富國俱樂部」第29個成員，1999年G20組成時列位其中，2010年外匯準備高居世界第六，南韓在不到30年間已擠進世界主要經濟體前段班。
二、韓國過去10年來因經濟體質改變，已成緊追日本後面的亞洲出口大國，以WTO統計資料看，2016年日本在全球出口排名第四，韓國第八；17年日本第四，韓國第六；18年日本第四，韓國第六，日韓對外貿易額差距縮小中。
三、韓國一有錢，在國際外交上開始顯得氣大財粗，特別是2006年韓籍潘基文當選聯合國秘書長後，韓國在國際間講話聲量放大，但韓國對國際事務處理和全球布局，不如日本細膩及細水長流。韓國去年平昌冬奧對北韓釋出極大善意，並公布「2040韓國統一發展藍圖報告」，南北韓如真能從緩和走向合作及統一，是日本所不願見的國安問題。
四、川普打翻美國總統為全球領袖的傳統形象，對中國發動貿易戰，白宮重要幕僚白邦瑞日前簡單一句「就是不讓中國趕在前頭」道盡一切。為維護美國全球霸主地位，對於國力正全面趕上的中國，處處設立障礙。有人說「川普病毒」讓日本有樣學樣，也想趁韓國還沒有變大變強成為地區威脅前，從經濟上遏止她的崛起，讓日本維持東亞地區唯一強國。
全文連結：https://udn.com/news/story/7339/3966912...
Ambassador Wu Jianguo, a member of our association, submitted a letter to the joint newspaper [Complete Economic War Japan-Korean version of "Thuc 】(Paper published in the newspaper on August 3, 108, A14 edition)
The Japanese government announced on July 1st that it will export control of the main Korean semiconductors raw materials from the 4th; South Korea wants to set up a stop point for a month, but the effect is Yesterday, Japan confirmed that South Korea would be removed from the trade "white list". South Korea subsequently offered counter-measures, announcing that it would kick Japan out of the "white list" of trusted trading partners. South Korea's ruling party criticized Japan as equivalent to "a full-scale economic war against South Korea".
Why did the G20 summit in Osaka at the end of June, Japan punched South Korea the next day.... If it's just historical hatred, it doesn't explain the trade war between Japan and Korea... Why is Japan putting a heavy hand on Han to knock down the Korean tech industry? There are four factors:
First, South Korea's national momentum has risen since the election of Kim Yong San in 1992 President and it successfully hosted the 24th Olympic Games in 1988. In 1996, it became the 29th member of the OECD "rich countries club" in 1999. It ranked among them when the G20 was formed in 1999 and ranked sixth in the world for foreign exchange readiness in 2010, South Korea has entered the pre-class of major economies in the world in less than 30 years.
Second, due to changes in economic structure in the past 10 years, South Korea has become a major Asian export country behind Japan, according to the WTO statistics, 2016 Japan ranked fourth in global exports, South Korea eighth; 17 years Japan fourth, South Korea sixth; 18 years Japan fourth, South Korea sixth, Japan sixth, Japan and South Korea's foreign trade gap narrowed.
Third, as soon as South Korea is rich, it begins to appear rich in international diplomacy, especially after the election of Korean Ban Ki-moon as Secretary-General of the United Nations in 2006, South Korea's voice in international speech has been enlarged, but South Korea's handling of international affairs and global layout is not as delicate and delicate as Japan. South Korea released great goodwill to North Korea at the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics last year, and released the "2040 South Korea Unification Development Blueprint Report". If North and South Korea can move from moderation to cooperation and reunification, it is a national security issue that Japan does not want.
Fourth, Trump overturned the traditional image of the United States President as a global leader and launched a trade war against China. An important White House staff member, Baibury, simply said, "Just don't let China catch up". To maintain America's global hegemony, obstacles are being set up everywhere for China, which is fully catching up with its national strength. Some say the "Trump Virus" has taught Japan, and want to curb South Korea's rise economically before it becomes a regional threat and keep Japan the only power in East Asia.
Full text link: https://udn.com/news/story/7339/3966912...
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