本會監事申佩璜大使應邀於本(107)年11月10日擔任2018台北大學公共事務學院「美中貿易爭端政治經濟論壇」之政治與政策面向觀察與談人。
...多位政商學界人士以產業及政治、政策面向分析當前爭端，於論壇中表示，預料這場「中」美貿易戰仍將持續，台商面對這場兩國大戰，不能依靠任何一方，應及時進行產業轉型，走出一條台灣路。
...曾參與南海仲裁案的外交部條約法律司前司長申佩璜表示，美「中」關係在近年從合作為主軸變成對抗作為為主軸，在前美國總統歐巴馬時代，中國大陸成為全世界第二大經濟體，而且軍事力量又在增長，中國大陸目前放棄了鄧小平韜光養誨政策，美國需維護第二次大戰以後建立的政經環境及安全結構，包括加強對友邦軍售。
「歐巴馬當年是採取反包圍政策，與多國進行雙邊多邊貿易關係，但事後當自由貿易狀態參入政府干預而不利於美國時，美國轉至提出公平貿易。而且主張重新談判不同的協定，改成對美國有利的協定，因為保護美國利益才是最高的代價。」申說。
我國前駐英美大使，北美司前司長沈呂巡認為，現時台灣雖然跟美國關係看似很好，美方亦簽訂了《台灣旅行法》等法案，但實際是華而不實，日本首都近日安倍晉三訪「中」，「中」日關係正在降溫，台灣亦不應期待日本為跨太平洋夥伴全面進步協定（CPTPP）為台灣發聲，以往台灣跟中國大陸關係轉好的時候，可能有助於台灣加入國際上活動，若然台灣持續未能與其他國家簽訂重要協議，擔心台灣成為「下一個北韓」。
「台灣夾在兩大國之間，怎樣在兩國中取得平衡，當然理念與安全要站在美國，但台灣要好好玩這場『牌局』，兩岸關係下，中國大陸顯然是台灣最大威脅，但同時亦是台灣獲取最大機會的地方」。
對於「中」美貿易戰會否持續...申佩璜大使則直言要看川普能否接受中國大陸未來是否開放市場，貿易逆差得到改善而「見好就收」。若果川普要求的，要強逼中國大陸經濟體制作出巨大的改變，那將會影響中國大陸經濟甚至統治能力，貿易戰或會進行至川普的連期完結，一切要看川普的決定。
以上截自：https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E4%B8%AD%E7%BE%8E%E8%B2%BF%E6...
Ambassador Shen Peiqin, our supervisor, was invited to serve as an observer and speaker on the politics and policy orientation of the 2018 U.S.-China Trade Dispute Political Economy Forum at the School of Public Affairs of Taipei University on November 10, 2017.
I'm sorry. A number of political and business academics analyze the current dispute with industry and politics and policy aspects, said at the forum that it is expected that this "China" US trade war will continue, Taiwanese business people can't rely on either side in the face of this two-country war, and should carry out industrial transformation in a timely manner and walk out a Taiwan road
I'm sorry. Former director of the Foreign Ministry's Treaty and Legal Department, who participated in the South China Sea arbitration case, Shen Peiqin said that the US-China relationship has changed from cooperation to confrontation in recent years. In the former US President China became the second largest economy in the world during the Obama era, and its military power is growing. China has now abandoned Deng Xiaoping's light and light-feeding policy. The United States needs to maintain the political and economic environment and security structure established after World War II, including strengthening
"Obama was a counter-encirclement policy, bilateral and multilateral trade relations with many countries, but then when free trade status was involved in government intervention to the detriment of the United States, the United States turned to fair trade. And he advocated renegotiating different agreements to one that is good for the US, because protecting American interests is the highest price. " said.
The former ambassador of our country to the United Kingdom and the United States, former director of the North American Department, Shen Yaoqiu, believes that although Taiwan's relations with the United States seem to be very good, the US has also signed bills such as the Taiwan Travel Act, but it is actually gorgeous. Japan's capital has recently visited China. The "China"-Japan relationship is cooling down. Taiwan should not expect Japan to speak for Taiwan for the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP). In the past, when Taiwan's relations with mainland China have improved, it may help Taiwan to join international activities. If Taiwan continues to fail to sign important agreements with other countries, it
"Taiwan is caught between the two major countries, how to strike a balance between the two countries, of course, the concept and security must stand with the United States, but Taiwan must have a good time to play this "card game", under cross-strait relations, mainland China is obviously Taiwan's biggest threat, but it is
On whether the "China" US trade war will last... Ambassador Shen Peiqin said bluntly that he would see whether Trump can accept whether China will open its market in the future, and the trade deficit will improve and "take it if If Trump asks for massive changes in the Chinese economic system, it will affect the Chinese economy and even its ability to rule, and the trade war may continue until the end of Trump's succession, it all depends on Trump's decision.
The above is from: https://tw.yahoo.com/?err=404&err_url=https%3a%2f%2ftw.news.yahoo.com%2f%25E4%25B8%25AD%25E7%25BE%258E%25E8%25B2%25BF%25E6%2598%2593%25E6%2588%25B0%25E5%25B0%2587%25E6%258C%2581%25E7%25BA%258C-%25E5%258F%25B0%25E5%2595%2586%25E9%259C%2580%25E6%258A%258A%25E6%258F%25A1%25E7%2594%25A2%25E6%25A5%25AD%25E8%25BD%2589%25E5%259E%258B-%25E6%259C%2580%25E5%25BE%258C%25E6%25A9%259F%25E6%259C%2583-020200879.html%3fguce_referrer%3daHR0cHM6Ly9sLmZhY2Vib29rLmNvbS8%26guce_referrer_sig%3dAQAAAGjPMUlNpo1dHZrOoa5NzGQ1BQptfjo_95kAI9Q4aIIbJh8N7t8AS7I2e6_u3nzmcsIVu72VljG8B6iWAWlZglGDJ9ARzN7jRrANlGls9oKnBAbMTUDBSS8DHI5CwcA-VHxmw9oMw2YQ9JZXk3i5ENd1J_ok0fU2hj_v7srKx2DR
...多位政商學界人士以產業及政治、政策面向分析當前爭端，於論壇中表示，預料這場「中」美貿易戰仍將持續，台商面對這場兩國大戰，不能依靠任何一方，應及時進行產業轉型，走出一條台灣路。
...曾參與南海仲裁案的外交部條約法律司前司長申佩璜表示，美「中」關係在近年從合作為主軸變成對抗作為為主軸，在前美國總統歐巴馬時代，中國大陸成為全世界第二大經濟體，而且軍事力量又在增長，中國大陸目前放棄了鄧小平韜光養誨政策，美國需維護第二次大戰以後建立的政經環境及安全結構，包括加強對友邦軍售。
「歐巴馬當年是採取反包圍政策，與多國進行雙邊多邊貿易關係，但事後當自由貿易狀態參入政府干預而不利於美國時，美國轉至提出公平貿易。而且主張重新談判不同的協定，改成對美國有利的協定，因為保護美國利益才是最高的代價。」申說。
我國前駐英美大使，北美司前司長沈呂巡認為，現時台灣雖然跟美國關係看似很好，美方亦簽訂了《台灣旅行法》等法案，但實際是華而不實，日本首都近日安倍晉三訪「中」，「中」日關係正在降溫，台灣亦不應期待日本為跨太平洋夥伴全面進步協定（CPTPP）為台灣發聲，以往台灣跟中國大陸關係轉好的時候，可能有助於台灣加入國際上活動，若然台灣持續未能與其他國家簽訂重要協議，擔心台灣成為「下一個北韓」。
「台灣夾在兩大國之間，怎樣在兩國中取得平衡，當然理念與安全要站在美國，但台灣要好好玩這場『牌局』，兩岸關係下，中國大陸顯然是台灣最大威脅，但同時亦是台灣獲取最大機會的地方」。
對於「中」美貿易戰會否持續...申佩璜大使則直言要看川普能否接受中國大陸未來是否開放市場，貿易逆差得到改善而「見好就收」。若果川普要求的，要強逼中國大陸經濟體制作出巨大的改變，那將會影響中國大陸經濟甚至統治能力，貿易戰或會進行至川普的連期完結，一切要看川普的決定。
以上截自：https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E4%B8%AD%E7%BE%8E%E8%B2%BF%E6...
Ambassador Shen Peiqin, our supervisor, was invited to serve as an observer and speaker on the politics and policy orientation of the 2018 U.S.-China Trade Dispute Political Economy Forum at the School of Public Affairs of Taipei University on November 10, 2017.
I'm sorry. A number of political and business academics analyze the current dispute with industry and politics and policy aspects, said at the forum that it is expected that this "China" US trade war will continue, Taiwanese business people can't rely on either side in the face of this two-country war, and should carry out industrial transformation in a timely manner and walk out a Taiwan road
I'm sorry. Former director of the Foreign Ministry's Treaty and Legal Department, who participated in the South China Sea arbitration case, Shen Peiqin said that the US-China relationship has changed from cooperation to confrontation in recent years. In the former US President China became the second largest economy in the world during the Obama era, and its military power is growing. China has now abandoned Deng Xiaoping's light and light-feeding policy. The United States needs to maintain the political and economic environment and security structure established after World War II, including strengthening
"Obama was a counter-encirclement policy, bilateral and multilateral trade relations with many countries, but then when free trade status was involved in government intervention to the detriment of the United States, the United States turned to fair trade. And he advocated renegotiating different agreements to one that is good for the US, because protecting American interests is the highest price. " said.
The former ambassador of our country to the United Kingdom and the United States, former director of the North American Department, Shen Yaoqiu, believes that although Taiwan's relations with the United States seem to be very good, the US has also signed bills such as the Taiwan Travel Act, but it is actually gorgeous. Japan's capital has recently visited China. The "China"-Japan relationship is cooling down. Taiwan should not expect Japan to speak for Taiwan for the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP). In the past, when Taiwan's relations with mainland China have improved, it may help Taiwan to join international activities. If Taiwan continues to fail to sign important agreements with other countries, it
"Taiwan is caught between the two major countries, how to strike a balance between the two countries, of course, the concept and security must stand with the United States, but Taiwan must have a good time to play this "card game", under cross-strait relations, mainland China is obviously Taiwan's biggest threat, but it is
On whether the "China" US trade war will last... Ambassador Shen Peiqin said bluntly that he would see whether Trump can accept whether China will open its market in the future, and the trade deficit will improve and "take it if If Trump asks for massive changes in the Chinese economic system, it will affect the Chinese economy and even its ability to rule, and the trade war may continue until the end of Trump's succession, it all depends on Trump's decision.
The above is from: https://tw.yahoo.com/?err=404&err_url=https%3a%2f%2ftw.news.yahoo.com%2f%25E4%25B8%25AD%25E7%25BE%258E%25E8%25B2%25BF%25E6%2598%2593%25E6%2588%25B0%25E5%25B0%2587%25E6%258C%2581%25E7%25BA%258C-%25E5%258F%25B0%25E5%2595%2586%25E9%259C%2580%25E6%258A%258A%25E6%258F%25A1%25E7%2594%25A2%25E6%25A5%25AD%25E8%25BD%2589%25E5%259E%258B-%25E6%259C%2580%25E5%25BE%258C%25E6%25A9%259F%25E6%259C%2583-020200879.html%3fguce_referrer%3daHR0cHM6Ly9sLmZhY2Vib29rLmNvbS8%26guce_referrer_sig%3dAQAAAGjPMUlNpo1dHZrOoa5NzGQ1BQptfjo_95kAI9Q4aIIbJh8N7t8AS7I2e6_u3nzmcsIVu72VljG8B6iWAWlZglGDJ9ARzN7jRrANlGls9oKnBAbMTUDBSS8DHI5CwcA-VHxmw9oMw2YQ9JZXk3i5ENd1J_ok0fU2hj_v7srKx2DR
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