本會「APEC北京峰會後的經貿外交與兩岸關係」座談會圓滿落幕，感謝各大媒體熱烈報導！
「APEC北京峰會後的經貿外交與兩岸關係」座談會由對外關係協會常務監事胡為真主持，邀請政治大學外交系教授林碧炤、外交部研究設計會主任介文汲、淡江大學中國大陸研究所長張五岳、經濟部參事張俊福出席與談。以下整理各家媒體報導內容：
林碧炤教授以南海問題為例說，當菲律賓等東協國家看到兩岸因服貿、ECFA等經貿協定與大陸關係越來越密切時，可能就會認為經濟改善未能幫助安全與政治層面，就不會考慮跟我們簽FTA。（中國時報「林碧炤：兩岸越緊密 恐礙我簽FTA」：http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20141216000981-260309）
林碧炤教授認為，如果APEC會員國整批加入FTAAP，非常合理，目前國際間也看不出反對意見，且台灣自從加入APEC後的表現與兩岸間建立的互信，在區域間都產生正面影響。（中央社「學者：FTAAP對台灣是機會」：http://www.cna.com.tw/news/aipl/201412150126-1.aspx）
介文汲主任說，台灣與中國大陸在東南亞地區競爭的角度不同，台商在東協主要國家都有據點與生產基地，跟國內產業形成供應鍊，不過，有台商有反映，東協國家對台灣下單，但台灣與東協國家沒有簽FTA，關稅較高，對長期競爭相當不利，如何與東協其他國家洽簽自由貿易協定是未來工作重點。。（中央社「學者：FTAAP對台灣是機會」：http://www.cna.com.tw/news/aipl/201412150126-1.aspx；蘋果日報「台FTA停滯　學者：小英或觀世音執政都很苦」http://www.appledaily.com.tw/.../%E5%8F%B0%E2%80%8BFTA%E5...）
張五岳所長表示，台灣在北京APEC（亞太經合會）會後面臨極大挑戰，因為RCEP（區域全面經濟夥伴協定）、TPP（跨太平洋夥伴協定）、中日韓FTA（自由貿易協定）、TTIP（跨大西洋貿易與投資伙伴協定）將陸續簽訂，若未來2至4年，台灣在雙邊或多邊FTA無法取得進展，無論2016年誰執政，不管是「小英還是觀世音」都會很辛苦，三分之一以上出口都面臨障礙問題。（自由時報「學者：無FTA 小英或觀世音都難執政」：http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/1181787；聯合報「學者：台灣沒FTA，觀世音也難救」：http://udn.com/NEWS/FINANCE/FIN1/9132333.shtml）
張五岳所長直言，固然FTAAP已啟動，但對台灣在區域經濟中被邊緣化卻緩不濟急，且在美國杯葛下，希望FTAAP在短時間內取得成果，「這是不可能的任務」。（中國時報「APEC後的挑戰 專家：FTA、RTA要有進展」：http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20141216000113-260203）
張俊福參事提到，中國大陸是明年G20主辦國，對於G20的議題設定，台灣過去很少介入，現在開始應該要了解討論議題內容與中國大陸對G20的規劃，如果可能透過兩岸平台，將台灣關切議題放進G20平台討論，對台灣參與國際事務會更有幫助。（中央社：http://www.cna.com.tw/news/aipl/201412150126-1.aspx）
經濟部參事張俊福表示，若2016年TPP無法達成協議，外界出現將被亞太自由貿易區（FTAAP）追趕過去的論點。對台灣來說，參與FTAAP這些都會有政治上困擾，如果台灣從一開始就積極參與，也許是機會，21個會員國共同談成一個FTA難度高，但值得台灣積極參與。（中國時報「學者：FTA無進展 觀世音都救不了台灣」：http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20141216000424-260102）
The symposium on "Economic and Trade Diplomacy and Cross-Strait Relations after the APEC Beijing Summit" came to a successful conclusion. Thank you to the major media for their warm coverage!
The seminar on "Economic and Trade Diplomacy and Cross-Strait Relations after the APEC Beijing Summit" was held by Hu Weicu, the executive supervisor of the Association for Foreign Relations. The seminar invited Lin Bixi, professor of the Department of Foreign Affairs of Chengchi University, Director of the Research and Design Association of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ji Wen Ji, Director of the Institute of China at Tamjiang Here's how the media coverage is organized:
Prof. Lin Bixiu said for example, when ASEAN countries such as the Philippines see the cross-Strait relationship with the mainland due to trade in services and economic trade agreements such as ECFA, they may think that economic improvements have failed to help security and politics, and they will not consider signing FTA with us. (China Times "Lin Bixin: The closer the two sides are, I am afraid I will sign FTA": http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20141216000981-260309 )
Prof. Lin Bixuan believes that if APEC member countries join FTAAP in a whole batch, it is very reasonable. At present, there is no objection from the international community, and Taiwan's performance since joining APEC and the mutual trust established between the two sides will have a positive impact on the region. (CCNA "Scholars: FTAAP is an opportunity for Taiwan": http://www.cna.com.tw/news/aipl/201412150126-1.aspx )
Director Ji Wen Ji said that Taiwan and mainland China compete in Southeast Asia from different perspectives. Taiwanese businessmen have bases and production bases in major ASEAN countries, forming supply chains with domestic industries. However, some Taiwanese businessmen have reflected that ASEAN countries place orders on Taiwan, but Taiwan and ASEAN countries have not signed FTAs. Tariffs are higher, which is very unfavorable to long-term competition. How to negotiate free trade agreements with other ASEAN countries is the focus of future work. (Central News Agency "Scholars: FTAAP is an opportunity for Taiwan": http://www.cna.com.tw/news/aipl/201412150126-1.aspx ; Apple Daily "Taiwan FTA Stopping Scholars: Xiaoying or Guanyin administration is very bitter" http://www.appledaily.com.tw/.../%E5%8F%B0%E2%80%8BFTA%E5... )
Director Zhang Wuyue said that Taiwan faces great challenges after the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) meeting in Beijing, because RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement), TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement), China-Japan-Korea FTA (Free Trade Agreement), TTIP (Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership Agreement) will be signed one after another. If in the next two to four years, Taiwan cannot make progress in bilateral or multilateral FTA, no matter who is in power in 2016, whether it is "Little Britain or Guanyin" will be very hard, and more than one-third of its exports (Liberty Times "Scholars: Without FTA, Xiao Ying or Guanyin are difficult to rule": http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/1181787 ; United Daily "Scholars: Without FTA in Taiwan, Guanyin can't be saved": http://udn.com/NEWS/FINANCE/FIN1/9132333.shtml )
Director Zhang Wuyue bluntly said that although FTAAP has been launched, there is no rush to Taiwan's marginalization in the regional economy, and under the US boycott, he hopes FTAAP will achieve results in a short period of time, "this is an impossible task". (China Times "Post-APEC Challenge Experts: FTA, RTA need progress": http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20141216000113-260203 )
Mr. Zhang Junfu mentioned that China is the host country of the G20 next year. Taiwan rarely intervened in the setting of the G20 issues. Now it is time to understand the content of the discussion and mainland China's plans for the G20. If possible through cross-strait platforms, it will be more helpful for Taiwan's participation in international affairs. (Central News Agency: http://www.cna.com.tw/news/aipl/201412150126-1.aspx )
Zhang Junfu, a director of the Ministry of Economic Affairs, said that if the 2016 TPP fails to reach an agreement, the outside world will be caught up by the FTAAP. For Taiwan, participation in FTAAP will be politically disturbing. If Taiwan is actively involved from the beginning, it may be an opportunity for the 21 member states to negotiate an FTA is difficult, but it is worth Taiwan's active participation. (China Times "Scholars: FTA progress, Guanyin can't save Taiwan": http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20141216000424-260102 )


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